Minimization of risk when determining the duration of liner-tamping-straightening machines

The authors propose a model of justification of the duration of the operation liner-tamping-straightening and construction machinery. Using this model, we can evaluate the efficiency and reliability of machines on any object. This allows you to most reliably predict the timing of production of certain types of works and their cost at the design stage. The article presents the indicators of full-scale tests and the estimation of reliability of manufacturing operations. One of the main factors of reliability of work of construction machines is the utilization of their time. All normative documents are obsolete data on the utilization of machines during the working time, which need updating, as the machines are constantly improving. To assess the reliability of working machines, the authors developed a database of the results of field tests liner-tamping-straightening machines, cranes, excavators, bulldozers, pipe layers, drilling rigs and dredges. To prove the validity of database values according to the results of full-scale tests were carried out two stages of verification: logical and mathematical. After sampling in accordance with GOST R 8.736-2011 was verified that it belongs to the law of normal distribution using the criterion of Pearson agreement. It was further calculated the reliability and risk of the planned volume of work in scheduled period of time. When it was considered the utilization ratio of machines time and the risk of deviation from the mean. The proposed approach to the assessment of duration of liner-tamping-straightening and construction machinery can be extended to any type of equipment and will allow to obtain numerical values for evaluating the reliability of production work in the scheduled time, which is very important in the construction, repair and maintenance.